Bitcoin Final Bull Run Thesis
Bitcoin may experience one last bull run before entering a prolonged period of low prices.
Too little corroboration in the last 3 days to call a trend (34 articles). Watching for it to gain traction.
Technical analysts point to Bitcoin reclaiming its short-term holder cost basis as a signal that the market has transitioned from dead cat bounces to genuine bull market conditions. This narrative suggests that current price levels represent a final accumulation phase before an extended bear market or consolidation period.
Cyclical bull-then-bear narratives influence position sizing and time horizon expectations among both retail and institutional traders. When this framing gains traction, it can compress trading horizons and increase volatility as participants attempt to front-run the anticipated reversal, affecting liquidity dynamics and price discovery.
A mix of mainstream and niche sources — coverage is broadening.
"Bitcoin reclaimed its short term holder cost basis, the level that separates dead cat bounces from real bull market entries. When that level holds, every crypto price prediction model built on on chain data turns green."
"Bitcoin has entered the early stage of a possible bull market after a 24% rally lifted CryptoQuant's Bull Score from 30 to 80 within one week. Eight of the model's 10 indicators now show bullish conditions."
"CryptoQuant's Bull Score jumped to 80 from 30 over the past week—its highest reading since October 2025. According to CryptoQuant, eight of the index's 10 underlying indicators are now flashing bullish."
"A rare Bitcoin (BTC) bull market signal has emerged after the cryptocurrency posted one of its strongest weekly gains in recent years, raising speculation that a new market cycle may already be underway. The move mirrors powerful reversal candles seen at major market turning points in previous cycles, including 2019 and 2023."
"Armstrong said the crypto market 'is likely at the starting point of the next bull market.' Armstrong based his view partly on the length of the recent downturn and Bitcoin's position in its market cycle. He also identified the Senate's scheduled action on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act and Bitcoin's historical performance during the final three months of the year as possible catalysts."
"Compressed ranges resolve violently, and history favors the bulls when they do."
"I think the base case for Bitcoin is basically that you get higher lows, and you do have these run-ups that happen, roughly every four years. Bitcoin's four-year market pattern is often linked to its halving schedule, which cuts the block reward paid to miners."
"Bitcoin briefly climbed above the $65,000 mark but failed to sustain the breakout. A four-hour close above the $64,700–$65,000 zone is needed to confirm renewed bullish momentum."
"He said Bitcoin has entered the July-through-October window in which he expects the current bear market to bottom. That period has also marked the beginning of his planned dollar-cost averaging strategy, with purchases spread across major support levels rather than concentrated at a single price."
"A recovery to $65,392 puts the $180,000 Bitcoin price prediction back in play... the Bitcoin price prediction Target $180,000 while BTC recovers to $65,392, up 4.17% this week"