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BTC-S&P 500 Macro Correlation
Stable
Steady attention in Bitcoin coverage, without a clear trend.
Updated 14 October 2026
The argument: Bitcoin's price movement is constrained by its 84.5% correlation with the S&P 500, making macro data the primary driver rather than crypto-specific catalysts.
How attention has changed
0% of Bitcoin coverage
Rolling 3-day share · as of 14 Oct 2026
This measures attention in published coverage, not the likelihood of a price move.
| Date | Share of coverage |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 0% |
| 2026-09-16 | 0% |
| 2026-09-17 | 0% |
| 2026-09-18 | 0% |
| 2026-09-19 | 0% |
| 2026-09-20 | 0% |
| 2026-09-21 | 0% |
| 2026-09-22 | 0% |
| 2026-09-23 | 0% |
| 2026-09-24 | 0% |
| 2026-09-25 | 0% |
| 2026-09-26 | 0% |
| 2026-09-27 | 0% |
| 2026-09-28 | 0% |
| 2026-09-29 | 0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-03 | 0.3% |
| 2026-10-04 | 0.3% |
| 2026-10-05 | 0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 0% |
| 2026-10-09 | 0% |
| 2026-10-10 | 0% |
| 2026-10-11 | 0% |
| 2026-10-12 | 0% |
| 2026-10-13 | 0% |
| 2026-10-14 | 0% |
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The argument and its evidence
Several outlets can carry the same argument; no single article is its origin. Read each one in its own context.
Recent coverage
Earlier coverage
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Crypto Breaking News · Published 1 Oct 2026
Bitcoin Holds Local Uptrend as US Bond Yields Retreat From 24-Year Highs
In coverage record: 2 Oct 2026
“the market's ability to sustain gains appears tightly linked to the bond complex”
Read article -
Crypto Breaking News · Published 7 Sep 2026
CoinShares: Bitcoin inflows track Fed rate bets, not an exit
In coverage record: 8 Sep 2026
“Crypto investment flows are increasingly reacting not to crypto-specific news, but to shifts in the US interest-rate outlook. CoinShares' central message is that investor behavior is not necessarily moving away from crypto; instead, it is reacting to the market's evolving assumptions about the Fed.”
Read article -
TechBullion · Published 19 Aug 2026
Crypto Update: Bitcoin Coils for a Breakout While Pepeto Fills Faster Than Any Presale This Cycle
In coverage record: 20 Aug 2026
“Schwab's crypto research director Jim Ferraioli says Bitcoin's shrug at inflation data proves crypto specific catalysts now drive the price more than macro prints.”
Read article -
TechBullion · Published 19 Aug 2026
Crypto News: Bitcoin Coils in a Tight Range While Pepeto Fills Faster Than Any Presale This Cycle
In coverage record: 20 Aug 2026
“Schwab's crypto research director Jim Ferraioli noted BTC barely reacted to the latest CPI and PPI prints. This is proof that crypto specific catalysts now drive this market more than macro data does.”
Read article -
TechBullion · Published 13 Aug 2026
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Stalls at $63,600 as Pepeto Wallets Race In
In coverage record: 14 Aug 2026
“tethered to the S&P 500 at an 84.5% correlation that turns every macro print into a coin flip. While that range holds traders hostage... The equity correlation that keeps Bitcoin moving in step with stock markets rather than charting its own path.”
Read article