Bullish for the 10-year Treasury
Disinflation Reduces Fed Hike Urgency
Stable
Steady attention in US 10-Year Bond coverage, without a clear trend.
Updated 14 October 2026
The bullish argument: Better-than-expected productivity gains and lower-than-expected labor cost increases suggest disinflation, which could allow the Fed to avoid rate hikes.
How attention has changed
0% of US 10-Year Bond coverage
Rolling 3-day share · as of 14 Oct 2026
This measures attention in published coverage, not the likelihood of a price move.
| Date | Share of coverage |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 0% |
| 2026-09-16 | 0% |
| 2026-09-17 | 0% |
| 2026-09-18 | 0% |
| 2026-09-19 | 0% |
| 2026-09-20 | 0% |
| 2026-09-21 | 0% |
| 2026-09-22 | 0% |
| 2026-09-23 | 0% |
| 2026-09-24 | 0% |
| 2026-09-25 | 0.8% |
| 2026-09-26 | 0.5% |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.6% |
| 2026-09-28 | 0% |
| 2026-09-29 | 0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 0.9% |
| 2026-10-03 | 0.8% |
| 2026-10-04 | 0.7% |
| 2026-10-05 | 0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 0% |
| 2026-10-09 | 0% |
| 2026-10-10 | 0% |
| 2026-10-11 | 0% |
| 2026-10-12 | 0% |
| 2026-10-13 | 0% |
| 2026-10-14 | 0% |
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The argument and its evidence
Several outlets can carry the same argument; no single article is its origin. Read each one in its own context.
Recent coverage
Earlier coverage
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MarketScreener · Published 1 Oct 2026
Goldman Sachs pushes Fed rate hike forecast to December
In coverage record: 2 Oct 2026
“We see a strong chance that the FOMC will ultimately conclude that additional rate hikes are unnecessary”
Read article -
Hindustan Times · Published 1 Oct 2026
US jobless claims below 200,000 for 3rd week as layoffs fall: Will Fed raise rates?
In coverage record: 2 Oct 2026
“The chances of another Fed rate hike in October fell after inflation data for July and August came in lower than expected.”
Read article -
MarketScreener · Published 30 Sep 2026
Wall St futures extend gains after economic data
In coverage record: 1 Oct 2026
“the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price index rose 0.3% in August, compared with a 0.4% increase expected by economists”
Read article -
Bnn Bloomberg · Published 24 Sep 2026
Fed hoping for pain-free landing from current U.S. inflation spike
In coverage record: 25 Sep 2026
“You could reduce inflation based on expectations.”
Read article -
ZeroHedge · Published 10 Sep 2026
Hike Or Hold? Debating The Coming Fed Decision
In coverage record: 11 Sep 2026
“The defense notes that 'the disinflationary trends that existed before the Iranian conflict are reasserting themselves' and 'Yields have risen largely because of an oil-driven supply shock and concerns about swelling fiscal deficits. The Fed's short-term policy rate is poorly suited to address them.'”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 13 Aug 2026
Wholesale prices were flat in July, below expectations for 0.2% increase
In coverage record: 14 Aug 2026
“Wholesale costs for goods and services were flat in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday in the latest positive sign for inflation. The report follows several other indicators telling a similar story – that after a ramp up in inflation earlier this year fueled by the Iran war and President Donald Trump's tariffs, the rate of price increases is beginning to ease.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 12 Aug 2026
CPI inflation report July 2026
In coverage record: 13 Aug 2026
“The tame monthly readings, coupled with similarly moderate levels in June, indicate that the energy-fueled burst earlier in the year is easing, though prices remain volatile and subject to constantly changing conditions in the Middle East.”
Read article -
Spokane Spokesman-Review · Published 12 Aug 2026
US core inflation comes in subdued, easing pressure on Fed
In coverage record: 13 Aug 2026
“Underlying U.S. inflation was subdued in July, likely easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The consumer price index, excluding often-volatile food and energy categories, increased 0.2% from a month earlier... On an annual basis, it advanced 2.5%, matching the slowest pace since March 2021.”
Read article -
Barchart · Published 6 Aug 2026
Stocks Settle Lower as Middle East Tensions Rise
In coverage record: 7 Aug 2026
“Losses in T-notes were limited on Thursday after Q2 nonfarm productivity rose more than expected and Q2 unit labor costs rose less than expected, dovish factors for Fed policy. US Q2 nonfarm productivity rose +1.4%, stronger than expectations of +0.6%. Q2 unit labor costs rose +1.3%, less than expectations of +2.1%.”
Read article