Bullish for the 10-year Treasury
Fed Rate Cut Delay Expectations
Stable
Steady attention in US 10-Year Bond coverage, without a clear trend.
Updated 14 October 2026
The bullish argument: Investors are adjusting their expectations for Fed rate cuts further out into the calendar.
How attention has changed
0% of US 10-Year Bond coverage
Rolling 3-day share · as of 14 Oct 2026
This measures attention in published coverage, not the likelihood of a price move.
| Date | Share of coverage |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 0% |
| 2026-09-16 | 0% |
| 2026-09-17 | 0% |
| 2026-09-18 | 0% |
| 2026-09-19 | 0% |
| 2026-09-20 | 0% |
| 2026-09-21 | 0% |
| 2026-09-22 | 0% |
| 2026-09-23 | 0% |
| 2026-09-24 | 0% |
| 2026-09-25 | 0% |
| 2026-09-26 | 0% |
| 2026-09-27 | 0% |
| 2026-09-28 | 0% |
| 2026-09-29 | 1% |
| 2026-09-30 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-01 | 0.3% |
| 2026-10-02 | 0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 0.8% |
| 2026-10-04 | 0.9% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.3% |
| 2026-10-06 | 0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 0% |
| 2026-10-09 | 0% |
| 2026-10-10 | 0% |
| 2026-10-11 | 0% |
| 2026-10-12 | 0% |
| 2026-10-13 | 0% |
| 2026-10-14 | 0% |
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The argument and its evidence
Several outlets can carry the same argument; no single article is its origin. Read each one in its own context.
Recent coverage
Earlier coverage
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The Economic Times · Published 2 Oct 2026
Fed officials give hints on rate decision as markets cut October rate hike odds
In coverage record: 3 Oct 2026
“Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and New York Fed President John Williams have in recent days suggested that policymakers believe the central bank has time to assess the economy before considering another increase.”
Read article -
International Business Times · Published 2 Oct 2026
The Jobs Report Was Much Weaker Than Expected. Odds Of a Fed Hike Decreased Further.
In coverage record: 3 Oct 2026
“the personal consumption expenditures price index climbed a seasonally adjusted 0.3% for the month... below the 3.7% expected by economists”
Read article -
NewsBytes · Published 28 Sep 2026
AI bubble burst could trigger US recession, Fitch warns
In coverage record: 29 Sep 2026
“The fallout would create strong disinflationary pressure, prompting the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates aggressively by an estimated 325 basis points.”
Read article -
Livemint · Published 4 Sep 2026
Pulse of the Street: US bond yields, interest rate jitters drag Indian equities lower this week
In coverage record: 5 Sep 2026
“Markets recovered on Friday after Fed governor Christopher Waller indicated he would support keeping interest rates unchanged at the next policy meeting.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 13 Aug 2026
Wholesale prices were flat in July, below expectations for 0.2% increase
In coverage record: 14 Aug 2026
“Traders further lowered the odds for a September rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Market expectations have switched in recent days, with traders now pricing in a rate hike in October or December after putting heavy odds that the Federal Open Market Committee would move at its next meeting on Sept. 15-16.”
Read article -
CoinGape · Published 5 Aug 2026
XRP Price Prediction as Arthur Hayes Says AI Bubble Could Trigger Crypto Market Rally
In coverage record: 6 Aug 2026
“If the Fed trims rates, it could lead to investors exiting their treasury yields for risk assets such as XRP, with this driving gains in price.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 31 Jul 2026
Global Market: Euro zone, US bond yields log biggest monthly rise since March on Middle East inflation concerns
In coverage record: 1 Aug 2026
“In the United States, investors have also sharply reduced expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Markets now expecting two rate hikes by June next year, including an almost fully priced increase in October.”
Read article -
The Globe and Mail · Published 28 Jul 2026
U.S. bond market avoids big rate bets as inflation dims Fed outlook
In coverage record: 29 Jul 2026
“After starting the year pricing in two to three rate cuts, markets have swung dramatically in the other direction. U.S. rate futures on Monday priced in a 36 per cent chance of a hike this week, according to the CME's FedWatch, up from 16 per cent a week earlier, while showing 43 basis points of increases by the end of 2026.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 27 Jul 2026
Bond investors, unsure about Fed policy outlook, hedge against US rate shock
In coverage record: 28 Jul 2026
“The market has become more convinced of rate hikes and you're seeing that in the options market in terms of more demand for payers over receivers.”
Read article -
CBS News · Published 24 Jul 2026
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates? Here is what experts predict for July's meeting.
In coverage record: 25 Jul 2026
“The probability of a rate hike at Wednesday's meeting has been rising, according to the CME Group's FedWatch, which uses 30-day Fed funds futures prices to predict rate cut decisions. The tool now shows a 38% likelihood the central bank will hike its benchmark rate next week, up from 12% a week earlier.”
Read article -
Bloomberg · Published 22 Jul 2026
Kevin Warsh Has Breathing Space, For Now
In coverage record: 23 Jul 2026
“The news on inflation has led investors to dial back their bets that the Fed will raise the policy rate later this year.”
Read article -
The Manila Times · Published 3 Jul 2026
The Dow hits a record as most of Wall Street rises, but slumping AI stocks keep indexes mixed
In coverage record: 4 Jul 2026
“Traders now see an 82% chance that the Fed and its new chairman, Kevin Warsh, will not raise the federal funds rate at its next meeting later this month. That's up from the 71% chance seen a day earlier.”
Read article -
Barchart · Published 5 Jun 2026
Stocks Tumble on Tech Weakness and Fed Rate Hike Speculation
In coverage record: 6 Jun 2026
“T-notes retreated today on the stronger-than-expected increase in US May nonfarm payrolls and the sharp upside revision to April nonfarm payrolls, bolstering speculation that the next move by the Fed will be an interest rate increase.”
Read article -
Livemint · Published 1 May 2026
Indian bond yields end April near 7% as crude oil prices surge. What should investors do?
In coverage record: 1 May 2026
“Global bond markets also faced pressure, with the 10-year US Treasury yield rising to a five-week high during the month. This followed the US Federal Reserve’s most divided rate decision since 1992, which dampened expectations of near-term rate cuts as rising energy prices heightened inflation concerns.”
Read article -
Livemint · Published 30 Mar 2026
Bond Yields Are Surging: 4 Forces Behind the Move and How to Position in 2026
In coverage record: 30 Mar 2026
“Goldman Sachs and other forecasters have continued to adjust their rate-cut expectations as the inflation and growth backdrop has evolved, while many economists still expect cuts later in 2026 rather than immediately.”
Read article -
The Straits Times · Published 24 Mar 2026
Wall Street indexes fall on worries about Middle East war, interest rates
In coverage record: 24 Mar 2026
“Higher oil prices have revived inflation jitters and complicated the interest rate outlook for central banks. The US Federal Reserve struck a hawkish tone last week, projecting only one reduction in 2026.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 18 Mar 2026
Why are US stock market indexes down today, and will S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones stay in red or turn green again? Wall Street fall, biggest gainers, losers, analysts insights, market outlook explain
In coverage record: 18 Mar 2026
“US stocks ended lower after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady. Policymakers signaled only one rate cut this year. This reduced expectations of easy monetary policy.”
Read article -
Altoona Mirror · Published 11 Mar 2026
Stocks waver as oil prices get back to rising
In coverage record: 11 Mar 2026
“Because of the spike for oil prices, traders have pushed back forecasts for when the Fed could resume its cuts to interest rates.”
Read article