Bearish for the 10-year Treasury
Fed September Rate Hike Bets
Stable
Steady attention in US 10-Year Bond coverage, without a clear trend.
Updated 13 October 2026
The bearish argument: The Federal Reserve is likely to hike interest rates in September based on current market pricing
What changed?
Not in yesterday’s coverage · 1.2% of US 10-Year Bond coverage today
The idea itself is not new: the recorded share reached 11.5% on 31 August. Renewed coverage does not necessarily mean new evidence.
How attention has changed
1.2% of US 10-Year Bond coverage
Rolling 3-day share · as of 13 Oct 2026
This measures attention in published coverage, not the likelihood of a price move.
| Date | Share of coverage |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | 6.5% |
| 2026-09-15 | 3.6% |
| 2026-09-16 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-17 | 3.3% |
| 2026-09-18 | 3.3% |
| 2026-09-19 | 3.4% |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.5% |
| 2026-09-21 | 1.4% |
| 2026-09-22 | 1.2% |
| 2026-09-23 | 1.8% |
| 2026-09-24 | 2.1% |
| 2026-09-25 | 2.3% |
| 2026-09-26 | 1.7% |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.4% |
| 2026-09-28 | 0.5% |
| 2026-09-29 | 0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.2% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.2% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.3% |
| 2026-10-03 | 0.8% |
| 2026-10-04 | 0.7% |
| 2026-10-05 | 1.1% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.1% |
| 2026-10-07 | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-08 | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09 | 2.6% |
| 2026-10-10 | 2.1% |
| 2026-10-11 | 2.4% |
| 2026-10-12 | 0% |
| 2026-10-13 | 1.2% |
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The argument and its evidence
Several outlets can carry the same argument; no single article is its origin. Read each one in its own context.
Recent coverage
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MarketScreener · Published 12 Oct 2026
Shares supported as oil retreats; focus turns to US CPI, earnings
In coverage record: 13 Oct 2026
“Rising energy costs are expected to lift CPI by a hefty 0.6% to an annual 3.7%”
Read article -
MarketScreener · Published 8 Oct 2026
Wall St turns lower as crude spikes, chip stocks weigh
In coverage record: 9 Oct 2026
“the probability of a December hike is currently at 67.9%, according to CME's FedWatch tool.”
Read article -
Bitcoin Magazine · Published 8 Oct 2026
Bitcoin Falls Below $81,000 As Oil Spikes, Fed Talks Tough
In coverage record: 9 Oct 2026
“Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller also said further interest-rate hikes will likely be needed to slow inflation.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 8 Oct 2026
US stocks: S&P 500, Nasdaq end lower as crude prices jump, chip stocks weigh
In coverage record: 9 Oct 2026
“the probability of a December hike is nearly 70%, according to CME's FedWatch tool”
Read article -
The Star · Published 8 Oct 2026
S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as oil surges, chip stocks slide
In coverage record: 9 Oct 2026
“Tight global crude supplies during the Iran war have sent US crude soaring more than 60% so far this year, stoking inflation pressures.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 8 Oct 2026
investors await 30-year bond auction
In coverage record: 9 Oct 2026
“Minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting published on Wednesday showed officials expect they will raise interest rates again before the end of the year to head off inflation.”
Read article -
NDTV Profit · Published 7 Oct 2026
US 30-Year Yield Hits 5.70%, Highest Since 2002 As Bond Selloff Deepens
In coverage record: 8 Oct 2026
“leading investors to expect futher interest rate hikes by central banks.”
Read article
Earlier coverage
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EUROPE SAYS · Published 4 Oct 2026
Let exchange rate act as shock absorber: IMF on Fed hike impact on India
In coverage record: 5 Oct 2026
“rate hikes by the Federal Reserve have historically created some pressure for emerging markets through capital flows, financing conditions, and exchange rate movements”
Read article -
MarketScreener · Published 1 Oct 2026
Dollar Hits 3-Month High on Prospect of Higher U.S. Rates
In coverage record: 2 Oct 2026
“the prospect of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates further”
Read article -
Firstpost · Published 1 Oct 2026
Global bond rout deepens: US 10-year yield hits 24-year high
In coverage record: 2 Oct 2026
“Traders now expect at least three more Federal Reserve rate hikes before mid-2027”
Read article -
The Straits Times · Published 30 Sep 2026
US Federal Reserve’s Williams sees one more interest rate hike in late 2026
In coverage record: 1 Oct 2026
“one further upward adjustment of the federal funds target range may be appropriate late this year to support a timelier return of inflation to target”
Read article -
Livemint · Published 29 Sep 2026
Euro Falls to 16-Month Low as Hawkish Fed Bets Boost Dollar
In coverage record: 30 Sep 2026
“expectations that the Federal Reserve will further boost interest rates supported the US dollar”
Read article -
CNA · Published 29 Sep 2026
Stocks drop and oil rises as Hormuz hopes fade
In coverage record: 30 Sep 2026
“markets pricing in a second successive rate hike at the end of October”
Read article -
Reuters · Published 25 Sep 2026
Battered bonds draw support from falling oil prices
In coverage record: 26 Sep 2026
“analysts see expectations for further Fed tightening keeping the US currency firm”
Read article -
CoinDesk · Published 24 Sep 2026
Traders price in 4 Fed rate hikes by June 2027 as bitcoin (BTC) slides below $83,000
In coverage record: 25 Sep 2026
“CME FedWatch puts the 4.75% to 5% federal funds range as the likely outcome for June 2027.”
Read article -
The Oregonian · Published 24 Sep 2026
Mortgage rates continue to climb, now back over 7%
In coverage record: 25 Sep 2026
“The Federal Reserve's decision last week to increase its key interest rate for the first time in three years in a bid to tame surging inflation could also keep upward pressure on mortgage rates.”
Read article -
MarketScreener · Published 24 Sep 2026
Fed officials see rates likely rising to curb high inflation
In coverage record: 25 Sep 2026
“it's likely that another rate hike may be appropriate by the end of the year”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 24 Sep 2026
Dollar perched at two-month high as hot PMI fuels inflation fears, rate hike bets
In coverage record: 25 Sep 2026
“Traders now see a nearly 70% chance of another increase when the US central bank next meets in October, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, up from the 50% probability a week ago.”
Read article -
International Business Times · Published 23 Sep 2026
Bond Yields Rose To a 19-Year High As Selloff Continues. Stocks Retreated.
In coverage record: 24 Sep 2026
“Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said "further policy adjustments are likely to be needed" to reduce price increases.”
Read article -
Breitbart News Network · Published 23 Sep 2026
10-Year Treasury Yield Rises To 19-Year High
In coverage record: 24 Sep 2026
“investors are increasingly convinced that the Fed is likely to raise rates again later this year”
Read article -
Reuters · Published 22 Sep 2026
Gold muted as higher-for-longer rate outlook weighs
In coverage record: 23 Sep 2026
“The US central bank will likely need to hike rates further to lower inflation resulting from strong demand as well as a commodity price shock”
Read article -
ZeroHedge · Published 21 Sep 2026
US stocks rallied led by strength in tech and communications, while oil prices and yields declined - Newsquawk Daily Asia-Pac Market Open
In coverage record: 22 Sep 2026
Read article -
CNBC · Published 18 Sep 2026
Three words from Kevin Warsh have Wall Street wondering how far the Fed will go with rate hikes
In coverage record: 19 Sep 2026
“Markets are pricing in the likelihood that the Warsh Fed removes a few more "doses" before it is finished. Futures are implying a fed funds rate of 4.635% near the end of 2027, which would argue for three or four more hikes ahead.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 18 Sep 2026
Trump may not see another rate cut as president
In coverage record: 19 Sep 2026
“markets appear much more convinced that U.S. rates will need to be kept higher for longer”
Read article -
Bloomberg Tax News · Published 17 Sep 2026
KKR Ups Its US Treasury Yield Call, Sees Fed Keeping Rates High
In coverage record: 18 Sep 2026
“KKR expects the Fed to hike again in December and then March”
Read article -
ABC (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) · Published 17 Sep 2026
Markets live updates: ASX tipped to gain as Wall St rebounds, oil and bond yields retreat
In coverage record: 18 Sep 2026
“JP Morgan now expects the Bank to raise rates in November. Economist Allan Monks said the latest language "almost sounds as if they have already made up their minds on a November hike"”
Read article -
Fox Business · Published 17 Sep 2026
Federal Reserve rate hike sparks home price reductions, experts say
In coverage record: 18 Sep 2026
“Rising borrowing costs are shrinking the pool of qualified buyers, signaling a potential wave of price reductions for sellers seeking to close deals before year-end”
Read article -
The Star · Published 17 Sep 2026
Ringgit ends mostly higher against major currencies, but weakens vs US dollar
In coverage record: 18 Sep 2026
“the Fed is unlikely to be done with its 25-basis-point rate hike yesterday, with further increases potentially on the horizon as the US central bank remains committed to bringing inflation back to its two per cent target”
Read article -
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution · Published 16 Sep 2026
Asian stocks mostly higher ahead of Fed's interest rate decision
In coverage record: 17 Sep 2026
“There is widespread expectation that the Fed will hike rates Wednesday for the first time in three years as inflation remains elevated in the U.S. and above the Fed's target.”
Read article -
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution · Published 16 Sep 2026
Stocks give up early gains and fall after the Fed hikes interest rates; Dow loses 750 points
In coverage record: 17 Sep 2026
“the Federal Reserve hiked its main interest rate for the first time in three years and suggested more may be ahead as it tries to get the nation's high inflation under control.”
Read article -
The Korea Times · Published 16 Sep 2026
Fed hikes key rate for 1st time in 3 years, defying Trump demands for a cut
In coverage record: 17 Sep 2026
“When investors expect inflation to stay high, they demand higher interest rates on government and corporate bonds to compensate.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 16 Sep 2026
10-year Treasury yield above 5% as investors await Fed decision
In coverage record: 17 Sep 2026
“Fed funds futures were last pricing in a roughly 92.5% chance of a quarter-point hike, according to the CME FedWatch tool, up from a 33% likelihood a month ago.”
Read article -
The Independent · Published 16 Sep 2026
Fed interest rate decision: Federal Reserve hikes key rate for first time in 3 years
In coverage record: 17 Sep 2026
“the Fed felt it needed to raise its benchmark overnight interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to the 3.75%-4.00% range”
Read article -
HuffPost · Published 16 Sep 2026
Trump’s Wars, Both Real And Trade, Are Now Hiking Americans’ Borrowing Costs, Too
In coverage record: 17 Sep 2026
“The new rate hike of a quarter point will increase rates on consumer loans and credit cards, making Americans pay more in a new way.”
Read article -
Moneycontrol · Published 15 Sep 2026
Ten-year treasury yield rises to highest since 2007 as Fed looms
In coverage record: 16 Sep 2026
“The bond slump raises the stakes ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision on Wednesday, where investors expect officials to raise short-term borrowing costs for the first time since July 2023. It would be very difficult for the Fed to leave rates unchanged this week without eroding its inflation-fighting credibility.”
Read article -
The Korea Times · Published 15 Sep 2026
year high with Fed decision eyed
In coverage record: 16 Sep 2026
“U.S. Treasury yields rose on Tuesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield hitting its highest level since July 2007 as investors brace for what may be the first in a series of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve as it tries to tamp down inflation pressures.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 15 Sep 2026
Government bond yields edge higher on OMO sales, Fed rate bets
In coverage record: 16 Sep 2026
“Pressure on yields is likely to continue heading into the US Fed's Federal Open Market Committee set on Wednesday, where Chair Kevin Warsh could hike rates.”
Read article -
CBS News · Published 15 Sep 2026
Fed expected to hike interest rates for first time since 2023. See what it means for your money.
In coverage record: 16 Sep 2026
“The Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate on Wednesday for the first time in more than three years as the central bank battles stubborn inflation fueled by high energy prices. Some Wall Street forecasters also pencil in one or two additional rate hikes over the next several months.”
Read article -
Devdiscourse · Published 14 Sep 2026
Fed's Tightrope: Navigating Inflation and Interest Rates
In coverage record: 15 Sep 2026
“With inflation rising and oil prices soaring, financial markets are bracing for a likely rate hike to a 3.75%-4.00% range. This decision is complicated by President Trump's previous expectations for Warsh to cut rates, which could be politically sensitive ahead of upcoming elections.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 14 Sep 2026
US Market: Goldman Sachs expects Fed to hike rates amid inflation fears
In coverage record: 15 Sep 2026
“Markets are currently pricing in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point rate increase at the September meeting, up from around 70% before the latest economic data, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. Investors are also expecting another rate increase in December.”
Read article -
EUROPE SAYS · Published 14 Sep 2026
Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan expect September Fed hike as inflation lingers
In coverage record: 15 Sep 2026
“Markets are pricing in an 87 percent chance of a quarter-point Fed rate hike this month, up from about 70 percent before the latest inflation data.”
Read article -
Devdiscourse · Published 13 Sep 2026
Trump's Interest Rate Battle: U.S. Against the World
In coverage record: 14 Sep 2026
“The timing of his remarks coincides with a significant spike in the Consumer Price Index, indicating a potential rate hike by the Fed.”
Read article -
CNBC TV18 · Published 13 Sep 2026
Ahead of Fed meeting, Trump says US should have world's lowest interest rate
In coverage record: 14 Sep 2026
“The Fed meeting will take place less than a week after a key measure of underlying inflation, the Labor Department's Consumer Price Index, on Friday posted its largest increase in four months. That reinforced expectations that the U.S. central bank will raise rates.”
Read article -
Breitbart News Network · Published 13 Sep 2026
Trump again calls for Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
In coverage record: 14 Sep 2026
“His remarks came after government data released Friday showed that consumer prices rose more than expected last month, which is likely to push the Fed to raise the fed funds lending rate for the first time in three years. According to CME Group's Fed Watch tool, more than 86% of market participants expect the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee this week to raise the rate 25 basis points to between 3.75% and 4%.”
Read article -
Devdiscourse · Published 13 Sep 2026
Trump Sparks Controversy Over Federal Reserve Rate Decisions
In coverage record: 14 Sep 2026
“The Consumer Price Index reported its largest rise in four months, reinforcing expectations of the Fed hiking interest rates. This increase signals persistent inflation, worsened by Trump's import tax policies and soaring energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions.”
Read article -
Natural News · Published 12 Sep 2026
Treasury Announces $6B Government Debt Buyback
In coverage record: 13 Sep 2026
“Traders have grown increasingly concerned that the Federal Reserve could hike interest rates at its meeting next week, which would raise short-term borrowing costs on credit cards and home-equity lines of credit.”
Read article -
Devdiscourse · Published 11 Sep 2026
Global Market Jitters: Inflation, Oil Prices, and Bond Yields
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“A significant rise in CPI might drive the 10-year Treasury yields beyond the psychologically critical 5% threshold, influencing global economic stability.”
Read article -
Kiplinger · Published 11 Sep 2026
Dow Soars 509 Points as Oil Prices Ease: Stock Market Today
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“But a surge in energy costs in September 'will probably tip the scale to a hike at next week's meeting.'”
Read article -
Los Angeles Times · Published 11 Sep 2026
Stocks jump after oil prices ease and an inflation update comes in near expectations
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“Such moves are the typical way the Fed tries to rein in high inflation, and they work by filtering through the bond market, making it more expensive for everyone to borrow money, slowing the economy and hopefully removing fuel for further inflation. That could be a signal that investors in the bond market see upcoming hikes by the Fed as helping to keep control of inflation over the longer term.”
Read article -
EUROPE SAYS · Published 11 Sep 2026
Oil extends rally on further Middle East disruptions
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“The chance of a rate increase by the Fed has now risen to 87% in the market. The CPI for August held at 3.4% with energy up 2.1%.”
Read article -
ANI (Asian News International) · Published 11 Sep 2026
5% US Treasury yield tolerable for equities, 6-7% could be breaking point: YES Securities
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“markets were already pricing in two to three US Federal Reserve rate hikes over the next 12 months. It said these should be viewed as monetary normalisation rather than a destabilising tightening cycle”
Read article -
CBS News · Published 11 Sep 2026
Fed rate hike in September is all but guaranteed after CPI report, economists say
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“A hotter-than-expected inflation report has sharply raised the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates in September, which would mark its first rate hike since 2023. More concerning for the Fed, core prices rose 0.3% from July, higher than expected and an acceleration from the previous month's 0.2% increase.”
Read article -
New York Post · Published 11 Sep 2026
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh under pressure to hike rates as inflation fails to cool
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“Traders of short-term interest-rate futures are now pricing about an 85% chance of a quarter-point increase at the Fed's September 15-16 meeting, versus about 70% before the report. Market pricing points to expectations for a second rate hike in December.”
Read article -
Reuters · Published 10 Sep 2026
US CPI, where the significant and the silly collide
In coverage record: 11 Sep 2026
“the consumer price index (CPI) data for August is shaping up to have a hugely significant bearing on Federal Reserve policy, potentially sealing the case for an interest rate rise next week and the resumption of a monetary tightening cycle.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 10 Sep 2026
Friday's CPI inflation report is even more important than usual. Here's what to expect
In coverage record: 11 Sep 2026
“if August CPI data, especially PCE-relevant components, surprises to the upside, that would significantly increase the likelihood of policy firming next week”
Read article -
Financial Post · Published 10 Sep 2026
What a Fed rate hike actually means for the U.S. economy
In coverage record: 11 Sep 2026
“Investors are pricing in about 70 per cent odds of a rate hike at the Sept. 15-16 gathering, according to futures contracts.”
Read article -
CNBC TV18 · Published 10 Sep 2026
year Treasury yield hits 5.34%, highest since 2007, as oil fuels rate
In coverage record: 11 Sep 2026
“Treasury yields rose by around six to eight basis points across maturities. The two-year yield climbed above 4.5% for the first time since 2024, while traders raised the odds of a Fed rate hike next week to around 70%. Markets are now fully pricing in a rate increase by October, rather than December.”
Read article -
CNBC TV18 · Published 10 Sep 2026
Year Bond Yield Gap Hits Record 317 Bps as Treasuries Drop, Yuan Resilient
In coverage record: 11 Sep 2026
“The US Federal Reserve is likely to raise its interest rates to combat inflation, while the People's Bank of China is keeping its policy loose to support growth.”
Read article -
Kiplinger · Published 9 Sep 2026
August CPI Report: What the Inflation Data Is Expected to Show
In coverage record: 10 Sep 2026
“If the August report looks worse, as we expect it will, then the pressure will build on the committee to start raising short-term rates by a quarter of a percentage point at that meeting and the two following meetings in October and December.”
Read article -
Moneycontrol · Published 9 Sep 2026
Stocks, bonds fall as brent oil jumps above $100
In coverage record: 10 Sep 2026
“"A hot CPI print would all but seal a September hike and underpin a firmer dollar," said Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. In the run-up to inflation data, money markets assigned a roughly 60% probability of a September Fed hike.”
Read article -
Morningstar · Published 9 Sep 2026
August CPI Seen Cooling, but Will It Prevent a Fed Rate Hike?
In coverage record: 10 Sep 2026
“Economists say a hotter-than-expected inflation reading would likely prompt the Fed to raise interest rates next week for the first time since 2023.”
Read article -
Kalispell Inter Lake · Published 8 Sep 2026
Oil prices keep rising and weigh on Wall Street
In coverage record: 9 Sep 2026
“That all has traders betting on a 58% probability the Fed will raise its federal funds rate after its next meeting finishes on Sept. 16, according to data from CME Group.”
Read article -
ANI (Asian News International) · Published 6 Sep 2026
US labour market resilience may keep Fed cautious on September rate decision
In coverage record: 7 Sep 2026
“The US Federal Reserve may face a tougher call on interest rates in September after a stronger-than-expected August jobs report eased concerns over a sharp deterioration in the labour market”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 3 Sep 2026
US Fed's Christopher Waller appeals to 'give disinflation a chance', hold rates steady
In coverage record: 4 Sep 2026
“"If inflation comes in hot, I would consider a rate hike" at the September 15-16 meeting, Waller said. He noted that the current 3.50%-3.75% Fed policy rate is "only slightly restricting aggregate demand," and "it may not take much acceleration in inflation to nudge me into supporting tighter policy."”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 3 Sep 2026
US Fed's Christopher Waller appeals to 'give disinflation a chance', hold rates steady
In coverage record: 4 Sep 2026
“"If inflation comes in hot, I would consider a rate hike" at the September 15-16 meeting, Waller said. He noted that the current 3.50%-3.75% Fed policy rate is "only slightly restricting aggregate demand," and "it may not take much acceleration in inflation to nudge me into supporting tighter policy."”
Read article -
Reuters · Published 3 Sep 2026
Fed's Waller channels his inner John Lennon with a plea to 'give disinflation a chance'
In coverage record: 4 Sep 2026
“"If inflation comes in hot, I would consider a rate hike," Waller said. He noted that the Fed's benchmark rate "is only slightly restricting aggregate demand," and "it may not take much acceleration in inflation to nudge me into supporting tighter policy."”
Read article -
CNBC TV18 · Published 2 Sep 2026
Why the global bond market is rattled and its implications
In coverage record: 3 Sep 2026
“Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's 'We have got work to do' remark at the Jackson Hole symposium have put the chatter of a rate hike by the central bank in two weeks from now, back on the table. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis points hike is now at 67%.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 2 Sep 2026
We're starting positions in 2 more defensive stocks to balance our AI exposure
In coverage record: 3 Sep 2026
“With the market expecting the Federal Reserve to hike rates at its September meeting in two weeks, we prefer to add some more defensive exposure. Higher interest rates lead to higher discount rates applied to future earnings and cash flows, resulting in lower P/Es.”
Read article -
Los Angeles Times · Published 2 Sep 2026
Wall Street rises as tech stocks climb and oil prices, bond yields hold relatively steady
In coverage record: 3 Sep 2026
“Wall Street expects the central bank to raise interest rates before the year ends in an effort to cool inflation, which remains well above 3%. Investors are also betting on a 64% chance that the Fed will raise rates at its upcoming meeting in September, according to CME FedWatch.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 1 Sep 2026
US Treasury bond yields ease from highs after data as Iran war escalation fans inflation concerns
In coverage record: 2 Sep 2026
“Yields jumped on Friday after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the central bank would 'have work to do' if policymakers were not confident inflation would return to the U.S. central bank's 2% target, which led markets to increase expectations for a rate hike later this month. Fed Governor Michael Barr said on Tuesday that if inflation does not cool quickly, it will be time for the U.S. central bank to increase rates.”
Read article -
Livemint · Published 31 Aug 2026
The stock market got what it needed from Nvidia and Warsh. Here’s what comes next.
In coverage record: 1 Sep 2026
“Warsh remains focused on inflation, saying that a few mellow inflation readings 'do not tell me that underlying trends have meaningfully improved,' and that unless the Fed is confident that inflation is moving toward 2%, 'we have work to do.' That work presumably entails hiking rates. Traders now see a 61% chance of the Fed raising interest rates in September per the CME FedWatch tool.”
Read article -
Business Standard · Published 30 Aug 2026
US jobs report seen reinforcing Kevin Warsh's view of labour market
In coverage record: 31 Aug 2026
“Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech raised the odds of a rate hike in September, and changed how the coming week's data should be read. In light of Warsh's comments, which were enough to boost the prospects for an interest-rate hike at the Fed's September policy meeting above 50 per cent, investors will seek clues about inflation from a pair of industry reports in the coming week.”
Read article -
The Hindu Business Line · Published 29 Aug 2026
Warsh’s inflation warning sets up September showdown for the Fed
In coverage record: 30 Aug 2026
“A downside surprise in August's consumer price index report, due September 11, would deflate calls for tighter monetary policy, while an upside surprise could lock it in.”
Read article -
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution · Published 29 Aug 2026
Warsh raises stakes for Fed's next meeting and other takeaways from Jackson Hole conference
In coverage record: 30 Aug 2026
“Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh renewed his inflation-fighting credentials in a speech Friday that opened the door to potential rate hikes in the coming months. In doing so, Warsh has put more pressure on the central bank to increase interest rates when it next meets in mid-September if inflation doesn't improve.”
Read article -
The Manila Times · Published 29 Aug 2026
The bond market prepares for a hike to interest rates, while US stocks drift lower
In coverage record: 30 Aug 2026
“The bond market swung Friday as investors built bets that the Federal Reserve may hike interest rates soon to get the nation's high inflation under control. Traders upped their forecasts that the Fed will hike its federal funds rate as soon as next month, with a nearly 58% probability of that, up from the 35% seen a day earlier.”
Read article -
Business Today · Published 28 Aug 2026
Raghuram Rajan says Fed should raise rates as inflation remains elevated
In coverage record: 29 Aug 2026
“Investors expect borrowing costs to rise by December, while a sharp increase in bond yields has also reflected some expectations of a possible move as early as September.”
Read article -
Barchart · Published 28 Aug 2026
The bond market prepares for a hike to interest rates, while US stocks drift lower
In coverage record: 29 Aug 2026
“Traders upped their forecasts that the Fed will hike its federal funds rate as soon as next month. They're now betting on a nearly 58% probability of that, up from the 35% seen a day earlier, according to data from CME Group.”
Read article -
Los Angeles Times · Published 28 Aug 2026
The bond market prepares for a hike in interest rates, while stocks drift lower
In coverage record: 29 Aug 2026
“The bond market swung Friday as investors built bets that the Federal Reserve may hike interest rates soon to get the nation's high inflation under control. Traders upped their forecasts that the Fed will hike its federal funds rate as soon as next month. They're now betting on a nearly 58% probability of that, up from the 35% seen a day earlier.”
Read article -
Barchart · Published 28 Aug 2026
The bond market sees a hike to interest rates as more likely, while US stocks drift lower
In coverage record: 29 Aug 2026
“The bond market shook Friday under a flurry of moves by investors anticipating the Federal Reserve may hike interest rates soon to get the nation's high inflation under control. Traders upped their bets that the Fed will hike its federal funds rate as soon as next month, with a nearly 58% probability, up from 35% seen a day earlier.”
Read article -
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution · Published 28 Aug 2026
The bond market prepares for a hike to interest rates, while US stocks drift lower
In coverage record: 29 Aug 2026
“The bond market swung Friday as investors built bets that the Federal Reserve may hike interest rates soon to get the nation's high inflation under control.”
Read article -
CBC.ca · Published 28 Aug 2026
More U.S. rate hikes possible with inflation still elevated, Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh says
In coverage record: 29 Aug 2026
“Wall Street investors now see the potential for a rate hike at the Fed's next meeting Sept. 15 and 16 as basically a coin flip, according to futures pricing tracked by CME FedWatch, up from previous odds that put the chance of a hike at just one-third.”
Read article -
Barchart · Published 28 Aug 2026
Fed Chair Warsh signals rate hikes may be needed with US inflation stubbornly elevated
In coverage record: 29 Aug 2026
“Wall Street investors now see the potential for a rate hike at the Fed's next meeting Sept. 15-16 as basically a coin flip, according to futures pricing tracked by CME FedWatch, up from previous odds that put the chance of a hike at just one-third.”
Read article -
The Globe and Mail · Published 24 Aug 2026
Bond market anxiety raises stakes for Warsh’s debut Jackson Hole conference speech
In coverage record: 25 Aug 2026
“U.S. inflation above the two per cent target for more than five years and Warsh's colleagues concerned that if the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee doesn't hike rates to get inflation back to that level, the central bank's credibility could suffer.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 11 Aug 2026
Indian bonds slip as crude hovers near $90
In coverage record: 12 Aug 2026
“Rising price pressures in the U.S. have lifted the implied probability of a September Federal Reserve rate hike to 51%, from 44% a day earlier.”
Read article -
Devdiscourse · Published 7 Aug 2026
FOREX-Dollar drifts higher as traders eye Iran talks ahead of US jobs data
In coverage record: 8 Aug 2026
“The greenback also drew support from higher Treasury yields after a Financial Times report citing sources close to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh pointed to the potential for a September interest rate hike, depending on incoming data.”
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The Star · Published 6 Aug 2026
Ringgit ends higher against US dollar ahead of US jobs data
In coverage record: 7 Aug 2026
“The US dollar was well supported as the rate hike thesis remains intact for now, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) edging 0.09 per cent higher to 99.762 points”
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Benzinga · Published 6 Aug 2026
Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Gain, Nasdaq 100 Slips as Hormuz Deal Talks Progress-SpaceX, SanDisk, App
In coverage record: 7 Aug 2026
“The CME Group's FedWatch tool's projections show markets pricing a 54.9% likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking the current interest rates during its September meeting.”
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The Tribune · Published 6 Aug 2026
US Fed Governor Lisa Cook says prepared to back rate hikes if inflation fails to ease
In coverage record: 7 Aug 2026
“US Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has said she is prepared to support higher interest rates if inflation does not begin to move lower, underscoring that restoring price stability remains the central bank's top priority. She stated 'I am prepared to act by raising rates, if necessary'.”
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ANI (Asian News International) · Published 6 Aug 2026
US Fed Governor Lisa Cook says prepared to back rate hikes if inflation fails to ease
In coverage record: 7 Aug 2026
“Cook said inflation continues to run above the Federal Reserve's 2 per cent target and warned that policymakers must remain ready to act if price pressures prove more persistent than expected. She stated 'I am prepared to act by raising rates, if necessary'.”
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Fox Business · Published 5 Aug 2026
Neel Kashkari argues Fed should hike rates to fight inflation soon
In coverage record: 6 Aug 2026
“I would rather get going now in small steps than wait till later, then we have a really entrenched inflation problem, and we have to raise rates aggressively”
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Benzinga · Published 4 Aug 2026
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq Futures Rise After Strong Monday Gains- McDonald's, AMD, Pala
In coverage record: 5 Aug 2026
“The CME Group's FedWatch tool's projections show markets pricing a 62.7% likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking the current interest rates during its September meeting.”
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