Persistent fear sentiment and unresolved macro risks including geopolitical tension and elevated Fed rate hike expectations limit confidence in sustained upside despite improving technical signals.

"The Fear & Greed Index is reported near 26, still in "Fear," despite Bitcoin bouncing roughly 4.4% off its recent low. The week's fundamental backdrop included renewed geopolitical and rates-related pressure: the US war in Iran resumed, oil prices moved above $85, and projections for a Fed rate hike by September 2026 stayed above 44%."