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BEARISH STABLE US10Y

The labor market remains firm with slower hiring, reducing the likelihood of an imminent dovish Fed pivot and keeping rate-hike expectations elevated

ARTICLES2
SOURCES2
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FIRST SEENAug 8, 2026
LAST SEENAug 11, 2026
→ TRAJECTORY Quiet

Too little corroboration in the last 3 days to call a trend (2 articles). Watching for it to gain traction.

COVERAGE OVER TIME
0.0%7.5%15.0% Aug 8Aug 11Aug 14Aug 17Aug 20Aug 23Aug 26Aug 29
COVERAGE MIX
Mainstream 2
RELATED THEMES

Themes moving alongside this one — where the same story is bleeding across assets, and where it's contested.

≈ RELATED The labor market remains resilient despite slower hiring pace, supporting economic stability NEUTRAL US10Y ⇄ CROSS-ASSET Soft Jobs Data Fed Relief BULLISH DJI ⇄ CROSS-ASSET Mixed labor market signals with declining job openings and slowing private hiring suggest economic momentum is fading despite some bright spots BEARISH SPX ⇄ CROSS-ASSET Weak labor market data showing only 57,000 jobs added could suppress rate hike expectations and support asset prices BULLISH BTC ⇄ CROSS-ASSET Weak Jobs Data Fed Pivot BULLISH BTC ⇄ CROSS-ASSET Dovish Fed Boosts Gold Demand BULLISH GOLD
SOURCE EVIDENCE

"Traders are adjusting their expectations, now seeing a 52% probability of an interest rate hike in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool, following unexpectedly poor employment data."

Devdiscourse general_news Source article

"Taken together, the data left traders leaning toward a still-firm labor market with slower hiring, rather than a clean dovish pivot. Market-implied odds of a September 25-basis-point rate hike were near 56.9% Thursday afternoon, up from 54.4% Wednesday."

EUROPE SAYS general_news Source article