Political uncertainty and ethics concerns surrounding the CLARITY Act are dampening market sentiment and reducing passage probability
Too little corroboration in the last 3 days to call a trend (3 articles). Watching for it to gain traction.
Still mostly niche and specialist coverage — not yet picked up broadly by mainstream press.
"There was also regulatory uncertainty that was affecting sentiment since the CLARITY Act was still pending in the Senate. The withdrawal of ETF, geopolitical risk, and unregulated regulation continued to raise eyebrows among buyers."
"A Polymarket contract shown on Tuesday assigned a 48% chance that the CLARITY Act would become law in 2026, down 17 percentage points. The contract's pricing indicated that traders still viewed passage as uncertain despite the reported ethics agreement."
"The current prediction markets have an estimated 41% probability that the law will be presented into law by 2026. These odds have decreased by nearly 25% points due to political differences and congressional time issues."