Bullish for the S&P 500
S&P 500 Post-Downturn Rebound Pattern
Stable
Steady attention in S&P 500 coverage, without a clear trend.
Updated 14 October 2026
The bullish argument: Historical analysis demonstrates that despite periodic significant downturns, the S&P 500 has consistently rebounded to deliver above-average returns over multi-year periods, with data showing positive returns in the year following 32 of the last 38 midterm elections and average gains of 14%. This evidence supports the thesis that long-term equity exposure has historically been rewarded despite near-term volatility.
How attention has changed
0% of S&P 500 coverage
Rolling 3-day share · as of 14 Oct 2026
This measures attention in published coverage, not the likelihood of a price move.
| Date | Share of coverage |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 0% |
| 2026-09-16 | 0% |
| 2026-09-17 | 0% |
| 2026-09-18 | 0% |
| 2026-09-19 | 0% |
| 2026-09-20 | 0% |
| 2026-09-21 | 0% |
| 2026-09-22 | 0% |
| 2026-09-23 | 0% |
| 2026-09-24 | 0% |
| 2026-09-25 | 0% |
| 2026-09-26 | 0% |
| 2026-09-27 | 0% |
| 2026-09-28 | 1.1% |
| 2026-09-29 | 0.7% |
| 2026-09-30 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-01 | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-03 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-04 | 0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 0% |
| 2026-10-09 | 0% |
| 2026-10-10 | 0% |
| 2026-10-11 | 0.9% |
| 2026-10-12 | 1% |
| 2026-10-13 | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-14 | 0% |
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The argument and its evidence
Several outlets can carry the same argument; no single article is its origin. Read each one in its own context.
Recent coverage
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ABC17News.com · Published 10 Oct 2026
The midterms are coming. Here's what the stock market has actually done before and after since 1874
In coverage record: 11 Oct 2026
“Since 1874, the S&P 500 has climbed in the year following 32 of the last 38 midterm elections, gaining an average of 14%”
Read article
Earlier coverage
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Kiplinger · Published 30 Sep 2026
S&P 500 Outperforms in Historically Weak Month: Stock Market Today
In coverage record: 1 Oct 2026
“That's a tailwind for stocks as we move into Q4”
Read article -
Fortune · Published 27 Sep 2026
Thinking about buying stocks instead of a home? The S&P 500 has blown away the housing market
In coverage record: 28 Sep 2026
“At the same time, the AI boom has supercharged stocks, and the S&P 500 has been on a hot streak of double-digit annual gains not seen since the late 1990s.”
Read article -
EUROPE SAYS · Published 7 Sep 2026
The Stock Market Is Flashing a Warning Seen Only 6 Times Since 1871, and History Is Crystal Clear That a Disaster Could Be Heading Toward Wall Street
In coverage record: 8 Sep 2026
“History also teaches investors that the stock market survives bubbles, recessions, wars, inflationary shocks, and financial crises — always coming out the other side and reaching new highs. This is the entire point of staying invested for the long haul.”
Read article -
Forbes · Published 9 Aug 2026
S&P 500 Earnings Beat Expectations As AI Leaders Remain In Focus
In coverage record: 10 Aug 2026
“corporate earnings do not seem to be under any threat from an economic slowdown, as betting markets still see a less than 10% chance of a US recession in 2026.”
Read article -
Devdiscourse · Published 17 Apr 2026
U.S. Stock Market Rebounds Amid Corporate Earnings and Geopolitical Calm
In coverage record: 17 Apr 2026
“Investors are focusing on a week packed with U.S. corporate earnings, propelling a striking resurgence in the stock market, which has shrugged off concerns from war-related tensions to achieve record highs.”
Read article -
Benzinga · Published 19 Mar 2026
Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Break 200-Day Support
In coverage record: 19 Mar 2026
“The aggregate results, while bumpy in the short run, tilt decidedly positive over time.”
Read article -
Benzinga · Published 18 Mar 2026
Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 Futures Fall As Wholesale Prices Tick Up In Feb And Fed Decision Looms-
In coverage record: 18 Mar 2026
“Professor Jeremy Siegel currently maintains a 'cautious tone' regarding the U.S. stock market in the short term, even as he remains fundamentally bullish on the long-term outlook.”
Read article -
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution · Published 12 Mar 2026
When stock markets get shaken, it can pay for investors to be patient
In coverage record: 12 Mar 2026
“The U.S. stock market has a track record of recovering from every steep drop it's taken.”
Read article -
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution · Published 4 Mar 2026
US stocks rebound after strong economic updates and an easing of oil prices
In coverage record: 4 Mar 2026
“The U.S. stock market is rebounding Wednesday from two days of punishing swings after oil prices stopped spiking and reports gave encouraging updates on the economy.”
Read article