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BEARISH STABLE SPX

S&P 500 Recession Trough Forecast

The S & P 500 could trough as low as 3000 to 3200 during the forecast recessionary period.

ARTICLES3
SOURCES3
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MOMENTUM 0pp
FIRST SEENMay 2, 2026
LAST SEENJul 7, 2026
TRAJECTORY Quiet

Too little corroboration in the last 3 days to call a trend (3 articles). Watching for it to gain traction.

0.0%7.5%15.0% May 31Jun 12Jun 24Jul 6Jul 18Jul 30Aug 11Aug 23
Mainstream 3

Mainstream financial press is carrying this — attention has broadened beyond specialist outlets.

"S&P 500: Peak At 7,800 In September, Crash To 4,400 By 2029"

Seeking Alpha mainstream_finance Source article

"Still, futures pointed lower Tuesday morning as traders weighed renewed geopolitical uncertainty and rising oil prices."

Benzinga mainstream_finance Source article

"Shilling said that stocks may get corrected because of inflated valuations. S&P 500 may plunge 30 per cent."

The Economic Times mainstream_finance Source article

"And as noted in my 2026 market outlook article a couple of months ago, I can see the S&P 500 hitting 5,000 before this year is up. And even 4,000."

Seeking Alpha mainstream_finance Source article

"Steve Sosnick... expects the S&P 500 to finish next year around 6,500, more than 3% below the benchmark index’s close on Wednesday."

Investopedia mainstream_finance Source article

"S&P 500 index can fall to 6,500-6,480 in the coming sessions."

The Hindu Business Line mainstream_finance Source article

"S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite opened lower on Thursday, following a two-day decline, amid the jump in yields."

NDTV Profit unknown Source article

""a reset to 5,900 is 'reasonable at a minimum' based on current market conditions""

CNBC mainstream_finance Source article

"That would mark the lowest growth rate for the index since the fourth quarter of 2023."

ElliotLakeToday.com unknown Source article

"That would mark the lowest growth rate for the index since the fourth quarter of 2023."

BayToday unknown Source article