Bearish for the 10-year Treasury
Sticky Core Inflation Fed Pressure
Stable
Steady attention in US 10-Year Bond coverage, without a clear trend.
Updated 14 October 2026
The bearish argument: Core wholesale inflation excluding volatile components remains elevated above the Fed's comfort level despite recent monthly declines
How attention has changed
0% of US 10-Year Bond coverage
Rolling 3-day share · as of 14 Oct 2026
This measures attention in published coverage, not the likelihood of a price move.
| Date | Share of coverage |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 0.4% |
| 2026-09-16 | 0.2% |
| 2026-09-17 | 0% |
| 2026-09-18 | 0.3% |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.3% |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.4% |
| 2026-09-21 | 0% |
| 2026-09-22 | 0% |
| 2026-09-23 | 0% |
| 2026-09-24 | 0% |
| 2026-09-25 | 0% |
| 2026-09-26 | 0% |
| 2026-09-27 | 0% |
| 2026-09-28 | 0% |
| 2026-09-29 | 0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 0% |
| 2026-10-05 | 0% |
| 2026-10-06 | 0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 0% |
| 2026-10-08 | 0% |
| 2026-10-09 | 0% |
| 2026-10-10 | 0% |
| 2026-10-11 | 0% |
| 2026-10-12 | 0% |
| 2026-10-13 | 0% |
| 2026-10-14 | 0% |
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The argument and its evidence
Several outlets can carry the same argument; no single article is its origin. Read each one in its own context.
Recent coverage
Earlier coverage
-
New York Daily News · Published 17 Sep 2026
Kevin Warsh does his job, not Trump's command
In coverage record: 18 Sep 2026
“Even excluding the volatile food and energy prices, core inflation is running at 3%, well above the desired 2%.”
Read article -
CoinGape · Published 13 Sep 2026
XRP Price Prediction After Trump Met Advisers Ahead of CLARITY Act Vote: What’s Next?
In coverage record: 14 Sep 2026
“August consumer prices rose 3.4% from a year earlier, reinforcing inflation concerns.”
Read article -
New York Post · Published 11 Sep 2026
Inflation rises 3.4% in August in last report before Fed’s interest-rate decision
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“Core CPI – which excludes volatile food and energy prices, giving a better picture of underlying inflation – jumped 2.4% over the past 12 months. It rose 0.3% over the month, slightly hotter than estimates of a 0.2% rise.”
Read article -
CoinGape · Published 11 Sep 2026
U.S. CPI Comes In Line With Expectations At 3.4%, Bitcoin Rises
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“Core CPI came in at 2.4% YoY, in line with expectations and its lowest level since 2021. MoM, Core CPI rose 0.3%, above expectations of 0.2%.”
Read article -
Morningstar · Published 11 Sep 2026
August CPI Report Shows Inflation at a 3.4% Annual Rate, Above Forecasts.
In coverage record: 12 Sep 2026
“The Consumer Price Index increased 3.4% in August from year-ago levels after the same 3.4% rate in July. Year-over-year core CPI (which excludes volatile food and energy costs) rose 2.4%, lagging the July rate of 2.5%.”
Read article -
CBS News · Published 10 Sep 2026
The CPI report arrives tomorrow. It could determine whether the Fed hikes rates next week.
In coverage record: 11 Sep 2026
“The Fed will pay closer attention to core inflation — which excludes more volatile energy and food categories — to monitor whether higher energy prices are passing through to goods and services. We have more layered supply shocks, and therefore the Fed has to think carefully about the potential pass-through of these higher commodities prices.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 10 Sep 2026
PPI inflation report August 2026:
In coverage record: 11 Sep 2026
“The producer price index...increased a seasonally adjusted 0.4% for the month...On an annual basis, that put PPI at 5.4%, still well above the Fed's 2% inflation target and 0.1 percentage point higher than expected.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 26 Aug 2026
Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows core prices rose 3.3% annually in July
In coverage record: 27 Aug 2026
“core PCE posted respective gains of 0.2% and 3.3%, in line with forecasts. While the Fed considers both measures, policymakers generally see core inflation as the better measure of longer-term trends.”
Read article -
The Economic Times · Published 26 Aug 2026
US Fed rate hike bets rise after inflation edges up to 3.7%, higher than expectations
In coverage record: 27 Aug 2026
“Core PCE inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and is seen as an indicator of underlying inflation pressures, was 3.3% from a year earlier, no better than it had been in June... With core inflation holding above the Fed's target and headline inflation moving higher, the latest report leaves less room for policymakers to assume that inflation will simply fade on its own.”
Read article -
Boulder Daily Camera · Published 28 Jul 2026
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces pressure to combat inflation
In coverage record: 29 Jul 2026
“Core inflation, which excludes the volatile energy and food categories, has risen since last December and has been stuck at around 3% or higher since 2023. Without noticeable progress soon, some Fed officials have said rate hikes will be needed.”
Read article -
Baltimore Sun · Published 28 Jul 2026
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces pressure to combat inflation
In coverage record: 29 Jul 2026
“Core inflation, which excludes the volatile energy and food categories, has risen since last December and has been stuck at around 3% or higher since 2023. Without noticeable progress soon, some Fed officials have said rate hikes will be needed.”
Read article -
San Diego Union-Tribune · Published 28 Jul 2026
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces pressure to combat inflation
In coverage record: 29 Jul 2026
“There has never been a time when inflation gradually moderated without impetus from the Fed. In other words, core inflation is not going to magically slow.”
Read article -
CNBC · Published 24 Jul 2026
Why the Federal Reserve should hike rates next week
In coverage record: 25 Jul 2026
“Even after coming in softer than expected, the core CPI in June was 2.6% year-over-year, the same as December 2025. The combination of persistently elevated core inflation and a stable, if not improving, labor market argues for tighter monetary policy rather than an extended pause.”
Read article -
International Business Times · Published 16 Jul 2026
Inflation Fell More Than Expected In June, But a Fed Member Said Interest Rates Should Be 'Modestly' Higher
In coverage record: 17 Jul 2026
“New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said he sees multiple signs that inflation has peaked, something that would allow policymakers to refrain from hiking interest rates. He went on to say he expects overall inflation to decrease to around 3.25% by the end of the year and move towards its 2% goal next year, getting there in 2028.”
Read article -
Coeur d'Alene Press · Published 15 Jul 2026
US producer prices drop 0.3% from May to June on lower energy prices
In coverage record: 16 Jul 2026
“Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core wholesale prices were up 4.7% from June 2025... Still, inflation is running above the Fed's 2% target.”
Read article