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US Debt Crowding Out Risk
The US government's increasing borrowing and interest payments are creating structural forces that could suppress speculative assets.
ARTICLES2
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FIRST SEENMay 24, 2026
LAST SEENJul 25, 2026
TRAJECTORY Quiet
Too little corroboration in the last 3 days to call a trend (2 articles). Watching for it to gain traction.
COVERAGE OVER TIME
COVERAGE MIX
SOURCE EVIDENCE
"Margin debt has grown over 40% year-over-year to levels last seen near speculative market peaks in 2000, 2007 and 2021. A Fed hike could also help rein in speculative excesses and help promote financial system stability."
"This problem feeds on itself. Interest payments on the national debt have been 6.1% higher than the previous year...and have become the second-largest spending category in the federal budget."