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NEUTRAL STABLE US10YMACRO

Fed Rate Cut Low Probability

The market is discounting a low probability of a rate cut at the next FOMC meeting.

ARTICLES9
SOURCES1
SHARE0.0%
MOMENTUM 0pp
FIRST SEENApr 9, 2026
LAST SEENJun 13, 2026
TRAJECTORY Quiet

Too little corroboration in the last 3 days to call a trend (9 articles). Watching for it to gain traction.

0.0%7.5%15.0% Apr 14Apr 26May 8May 20Jun 1Jun 13Jun 25Jul 7
Unclassified 9

"The markets are discounting a 4% chance of a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 2% chance of a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 2% chance of a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 3% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 4% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 7% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 4% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 4% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 2% chance for a +25 bp FOMC rate hike at the April 28-29 policy meeting."

Barchart unknown Source article

"The markets are discounting a 23% chance for a -25 bp rate cut at the next policy meeting on March 17-18."

Barchart unknown Source article