Bearish for the 10-year Treasury
Fed Rate Cut Low Probability
Quiet
Little coverage in US 10-Year Bond in the 7 days to 21 October.
Judged on the 7-day share of US 10-Year Bond coverage to 21 October
Updated 21 October 2026
The bearish argument: The market is discounting a low probability of a rate cut at the next FOMC meeting.
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The argument and its evidence
Several outlets can carry the same argument; no single article is its origin. Read each one in its own context.
All articles matched to this narrative
Recent coverage
Earlier coverage
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Barchart · Published 12 Jun 2026
Stocks See Support from Hopes for a Near-term US-Iran Agreement
In coverage record: 13 Jun 2026
“The markets are discounting a 4% chance of a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.”
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Barchart · Published 4 Jun 2026
Stocks Rebound on Strength in Banks and Managed Healthcare
In coverage record: 5 Jun 2026
“The markets are discounting a 2% chance of a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.”
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Barchart · Published 4 Jun 2026
Weakness in Technology Stocks Pressures Stock Indexes
In coverage record: 5 Jun 2026
“The markets are discounting a 2% chance of a +25 bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.”
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Barchart · Published 29 May 2026
Stock Indexes Rally to Record Highs on Peace Deal Hopes and AI Spending
In coverage record: 30 May 2026
“The markets are discounting a 3% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.”
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Barchart · Published 14 May 2026
Stocks Settle Higher on Strong Tech Earnings and Economic Resilience
In coverage record: 14 May 2026
“The markets are discounting a 4% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.”
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Barchart · Published 14 May 2026
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Post Record Highs on Tech Strength
In coverage record: 14 May 2026
“The markets are discounting a 7% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.”
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Barchart · Published 14 May 2026
Stocks Push Higher on Strength in Tech and a Solid US Retail Sales Report
In coverage record: 14 May 2026
“The markets are discounting a 4% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.”
Read article -
Barchart · Published 11 May 2026
Stocks Settle Higher on Strong Earnings
In coverage record: 11 May 2026
“The markets are discounting a 4% chance of a -25 bp FOMC rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17.”
Read article -
Barchart · Published 9 Apr 2026
Stocks Under Some Pressure as Optimism Fades Over US-Iran Ceasefire
In coverage record: 9 Apr 2026
“The markets are discounting a 2% chance for a +25 bp FOMC rate hike at the April 28-29 policy meeting.”
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